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A governing scenario · Reviewed September 22, 2026

Mike Lee
Beyond 100 days.

Lee's limited-government agenda raises the question of which functions would disappear and which would move to other institutions. Abolishing an agency does not by itself remove the underlying service or security obligation.

A hypothetical presidency, not a claim of candidacy or an election forecast. Policy effects below are analytical possibilities conditional on authority, financing and delivery.

Person-specific focus · source-linked analysis

From a position to a governing program

The selected themes below come from this person’s series coverage. A source passage is separated from our analysis of implementation. The proposed federal pathway is an analytical translation, not a newly discovered promise. Unselected issues remain outside this review.

01 · Mixed executive and legislative authorities

Energy production and reliability

Series context · Limited or mixed evidence

As Energy Committee chairman, Lee introduced the Nuclear Energy Innovation and Deployment Act (NEIDA, April 2026) with Sen. Dave McCormick (R-PA) to “modernize and clarify” DOE oversight of nuclear facilities and speed commercialization, citing a “valley of death” between demonstration projects and deployment amid rising electricity demand driven partly by AI. Lee: “The demand for electricity is increasing at a pace not seen in generations. We can meet that demand or we could be left behind.” The lever split: NRC…

Read the full context: Nuclear energy and AI-driven electricity demand

What can start before the program is complete

Set lawful leasing, licensing and regulatory priorities, identifying fuel, grid and workforce constraints.

What must change for the result to endure

Align capital investment and infrastructure with a durable statutory and funding framework.

Drill down: failure modes and the test of success

Where it can stall: Permits do not guarantee financing, customers, transmission or lower retail prices.

Evidence that would change the assessment: Operating capacity, reliability, delivered energy prices, emissions, local impacts and lifecycle public liabilities. Compare outcomes with the pre-policy baseline and affected groups that did not receive the intervention; distinguish outside shocks from the policy’s contribution.

Before assigning a net winner: obtain the actual proposal, funding source, affected population, transition plan and independent cost estimate. An announcement, sponsorship or appropriation alone does not establish the final effect.

02 · Legislation central

Spending restraint and program design

Series context · Series discussion

In March 2025 Lee introduced the Abolish the TSA Act with Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-AL) to dissolve the TSA within 90 days of enactment and privatize airport security under a new Office of Aviation Security Oversight. Lee: “The TSA has not only intruded into the privacy and personal space of most Americans, it has also repeatedly failed tests to find weapons and explosives.” TSA operates under statutory authority — dissolving it requires Congress. But the digest identifies a real unilateral lever: the…

Read the full context: Abolishing the TSA

What can start before the program is complete

Audit costs and performance, naming the functions affected before assuming a saving is achievable.

What must change for the result to endure

Change appropriations or statutes where required and finance an orderly transition for continuing obligations.

Drill down: failure modes and the test of success

Where it can stall: Across-the-board reductions can cut productive capacity along with waste, and executive control over appropriations is limited.

Evidence that would change the assessment: Net savings after transition costs, service outcomes, maintenance backlogs, displaced obligations and independent audit results. Compare outcomes with the pre-policy baseline and affected groups that did not receive the intervention; distinguish outside shocks from the policy’s contribution.

Before assigning a net winner: obtain the actual proposal, funding source, affected population, transition plan and independent cost estimate. An announcement, sponsorship or appropriation alone does not establish the final effect.

03 · Mixed executive and legislative authorities

Border security and interdiction

Series context · Limited or mixed evidence

Per the Salt Lake Tribune (July 2026), Lee pushes for a constitutional amendment to end birthright citizenship. Evidence strength: moderate — this is a secondary source, and the digest is explicit that the Birthright Citizenship Act (S. 304) in the 119th Congress is sponsored by Sen. Graham, not Lee; do not attribute S. 304 to him. The lever here is the steepest in the whole set: a constitutional amendment requires Congress plus the states — this would require congressional approval (and more) rather than…

Read the full context: Immigration and birthright citizenship

What can start before the program is complete

Set lawful priorities, staffing and oversight for interdiction and enforcement, separating criminal networks from legitimate activity.

What must change for the result to endure

Obtain legislation and resources for new authorities or sustained capacity, with review and redress procedures.

Drill down: failure modes and the test of success

Where it can stall: Deterrence depends on adaptation by illicit networks; arrests or seizures alone do not measure harm prevented.

Evidence that would change the assessment: Overdose and victimization trends, error rates, case outcomes, border wait times and cost per sustained reduction in harm. Compare outcomes with the pre-policy baseline and affected groups that did not receive the intervention; distinguish outside shocks from the policy’s contribution.

Before assigning a net winner: obtain the actual proposal, funding source, affected population, transition plan and independent cost estimate. An announcement, sponsorship or appropriation alone does not establish the final effect.

Beyond the opening hundred days

How Lee’s agenda could develop

Choose the governing conditions. These scenarios test mechanisms and tradeoffs; they do not assign election odds, assume passage, or predict a numerical economic result.

Assume the specific proposal wins the votes and funding it requires; party control alone is insufficient.

Years 1–2

Use the first two years to enact the specified law, finish required procedures and start delivery.

Years 3–4

By years 3–4, evaluate actual use, costs and unintended effects; amend or stop ineffective components.

Years 5–10

In years 5–10, assess whether later governments retain the law, financing and operating capacity. This horizon does not assume reelection.

Chart 4 · From agenda to durable governance
ThemeWhat this scenario requiresWhat can interrupt it
Energy production and reliabilityAlign capital investment and infrastructure with a durable statutory and funding framework.Permits do not guarantee financing, customers, transmission or lower retail prices.
Spending restraint and program designChange appropriations or statutes where required and finance an orderly transition for continuing obligations.Across-the-board reductions can cut productive capacity along with waste, and executive control over appropriations is limited.
Border security and interdictionObtain legislation and resources for new authorities or sustained capacity, with review and redress procedures.Deterrence depends on adaptation by illicit networks; arrests or seizures alone do not measure harm prevented.

Conditional winners and losers

Who could gain—and who could bear costs

Chart 5 · Qualitative exposure map. These groups can overlap: the same person can gain as a worker and pay more as a consumer or taxpayer. No net ranking is possible without specified legislation, financing and independent estimates.

The channels below assume the relevant policy is enacted and delivered as designed. Benefits remain conditional on implementation.

Energy production and reliability

Potential beneficiaries

Producers, construction workers and energy users could benefit if additional reliable supply reduces scarcity.

Potential costs and risks

Nearby communities and public budgets may absorb environmental or infrastructure costs; stranded investments remain possible.

Check the result: Operating capacity, reliability, delivered energy prices, emissions, local impacts and lifecycle public liabilities.

Spending restraint and program design

Potential beneficiaries

Taxpayers or competing priorities could benefit if ineffective spending is actually removed.

Potential costs and risks

Service recipients, employees and contractors can lose income or access; deferred maintenance can raise later costs.

Check the result: Net savings after transition costs, service outcomes, maintenance backlogs, displaced obligations and independent audit results.

Border security and interdiction

Potential beneficiaries

Communities exposed to trafficking or violence could benefit if interventions reduce actual harm.

Potential costs and risks

Families, lawful travelers, importers and labor-dependent firms may face errors, delays or disruption; enforcement expands fiscal costs.

Check the result: Overdose and victimization trends, error rates, case outcomes, border wait times and cost per sustained reduction in harm.

Keep the source trail intact

Original articles and citations

The original reporting and analysis remain unchanged. Citations below are retained from those articles and are not all independently revalidated in this extension. Consult the linked passage, date and underlying document before treating a proposal or officeholding assertion as established fact.

All 1 series article

View 9 preserved external citations
  1. Lee Senate office — Abolish the TSA Act with Sen. Tuberville (article context)
  2. Senate Energy Committee — about the chairman (bio, policy focus) (article context)
  3. Senate Energy Committee — chairman page (Energy and Natural Resources gavel) (article context)
  4. TotalNews — NEIDA nuclear deployment bill summary (secondary source) (article context)
  5. Congress.gov — S. 304, Birthright Citizenship Act (sponsored by Sen. Graham, not Lee) (article context)
  6. GovTrack — S. 304, Birthright Citizenship Act (article context)
  7. Salt Lake Tribune — Lee pushes birthright-citizenship amendment (secondary source) (article context)
  8. Senate.gov — Energy and Natural Resources Committee membership (article context)
  9. GovTrack — H.R. 1218 text (119th Congress, consulted in digest research) (article context)

Framework for the new analysis

The framework sources explain institutions and constraints; they do not support a numerical forecast or endorse these scenarios. Read the full method ↗