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Large Language Models Explained: Inside the 2026 LLM Boom

Large Language Models Explained: Inside the 2026 LLM BoomPhoto: N43 and Hermes
N43 ANALYSIS
TECHNOLOGY · N43
N43 ANALYSIS · TECHNOLOGY

Every few weeks in 2026 a new frontier model lands, and each one still runs on the same machinery: split text into tokens, weigh every token against every other, and bet on what comes next. This is the machinery under the boom.

Source video: Large Language Models explained briefly · 3Blue1Brown · approximately 7.3M views (7,334,042 observed via yt-dlp on September 2, 2026; approximate and timestamped). Independently researched by N43 and Hermes.

01 Why Everyone Is Talking About LLMs, Again

A large language model is an AI model trained on a vast amount of text for natural language processing tasks, especially language generation — that is the textbook definition, and it undersells what happened next. LLMs became the basis for most modern chat assistants, including ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, and DeepSeek, and by 2026 they are also the substrate for coding tools, search engines, and autonomous agents. The reason the discourse never cools down is that the underlying capability keeps compounding: better base models, better post-training, and better packaging arrive on different schedules but land in the same product surface.

The 2026 release wave — reasoning-first models, context windows measured in millions of tokens, native multimodality, and small models distilled from large ones — looks like a series of revolutions if you watch the announcements. It is closer to one long curve, and every point on it traces back to the same three ideas: tokens, attention, and next-token prediction. Get those straight and the rest of the field reads as engineering, not magic.

02 What a Token Is, and Why It Is Not a Word

Models do not read words. They read tokens: fragments of text carved out by a fixed vocabulary learned before training even starts. The English word "unbelievable" might become three tokens; a rare name might become five; a common word like "the" is one. The vocabulary typically holds tens of thousands of entries, and any string can be represented, because unknown sequences fall back to subword fragments and, at worst, single bytes.

Tokens are the unit of everything downstream. When a model maker says a context window is two million tokens, that is roughly 1.5 million words of English, but noticeably less in languages that tokenize inefficiently — a quiet reason why "the same model" can feel slower or cheaper in some languages than others. Tokenization also explains quirks users notice directly: models fumble counting letters in a word, because they never saw the letters, only token IDs.

A model's entire world is a stream of token IDs. It has no direct access to letters, pixels, or sounds — only to numbers that stand in for them. Every downstream limit, including hallucination, has roots in this representation.

03 How Attention Actually Works

Before attention, language models read text mostly in one direction, one fixed window at a time. The 2017 transformer architecture changed that with one move: let every token look at every other token in the sequence and decide, per layer, which ones matter. That weighting mechanism is attention. Each token emits a query, a key, and a value vector; queries are matched against keys to produce weights; the weighted sum of values becomes the token's new representation. Nothing in that loop is human-scripted — the model learns what to attend to from data.

Stack dozens of these layers, each with many attention "heads," and you get representations that track grammar at the bottom and something like topic, tone, and long-range structure near the top. Crucially, attention is what makes context windows valuable: any token can consult any other token, so doubling the window is not just "more memory," it is a denser web of relationships the model can reason over. It is also the expensive part — attention scales roughly with the square of sequence length, which is why million-token contexts took years of engineering in caching, sparsity, and architecture rather than a single clever trick.

04 Why Scale Changed Everything

The founding surprise of the field is the scaling law: cross a few thresholds of parameters, data, and compute, and capabilities do not improve smoothly — they arrive in steps. A model too small to do arithmetic suddenly does arithmetic once it is big enough; a model that could not summarize reliably one year is writing multi-file code the next. GPT-2 at 1.5 billion parameters produced plausible paragraphs. GPT-3 at 175 billion produced few-shot learning — instructions in the prompt, followed without retraining. Nothing in the algorithm changed; only the scale did.

Parameter counts of landmark language models, 2019 to 2020, log scaleBar chart of parameter milestones: GPT-2 1.5 billion, GPT-3 175 billion, a roughly 117x jump in about one year, on a logarithmic scale. 1B 10B 100B 1T Training… 0.34B BERT-Large 2018 1.5B GPT-2 2019 11B T5-11B 2019 175B GPT-3 2020 N43 and…

Figure 2. Parameter-count milestones in early LLM scaling: BERT-Large 0.34B, GPT-2 1.5B, T5 11B, GPT-3 175B (arXiv 1810.04805, 2005.14165, 1910.10683). Later frontier models are commonly reported via Epoch AI compute estimates as sparse mixtures-of-experts, so dense parameter counts stopped being the headline metric.

By the time of GPT-4-class models, raw parameter count had stopped being the headline — frontier systems became sparse mixtures-of-experts whose active parameter counts are not disclosed, and analysts such as Epoch AI switched to estimating training compute in floating-point operations as the comparable metric. On that measure, frontier training runs grew by roughly five to six orders of magnitude between 2018 and 2024, and the growth continued through the 2026 generation. The economics scaled too: what once was a research demo became an industry with data centers, power contracts, and price-per-million-token rate cards.

05 What Reasoning Models Add

For a decade, the LLM recipe was: predict the next token, full stop. The 2024 to 2026 generation added a loop around it. Reasoning models generate long chains of intermediate token predictions — thinking through a problem in the open — before committing to an answer, and they are trained with reinforcement learning on outcomes, so chains that reach correct answers get rewarded. The mechanism is still next-token prediction; the difference is what is being predicted: scratchwork, self-checks, backtracking, and then the answer.

On tasks with checkable answers — competition mathematics, competitive programming, formal proofs, structured puzzles — this moved benchmarks by large margins in a single model generation. It also changed cost accounting: a reasoning model might emit tens of thousands of tokens to solve one problem, and providers now expose a "thinking budget" as a tunable dial. The failure modes changed as well — a model that reasons can reason its way confidently into a wrong answer, which is a new flavor of hallucination, not the end of it.

06 Context Windows: From 1K to 2M and Beyond

A model's context window is how much text it can attend over at once — prompt and output together. The growth here has been as dramatic as parameter growth, and more user-visible: kilobytes of text became entire codebases, book-length documents, and hours of transcribed audio.

Context window size of frontier language models, 2019 to 2024, log scaleBar chart showing context window growth from 1,024 tokens (GPT-2, 2019) to 2,000,000 tokens (Gemini 1.5 Pro, 2024), on a logarithmic scale. 1K 10K 100K 1M Context… 1.0K GPT-2 2019 4K GPT-3 2020 128K GPT-4… 2023 2M Gemini… 2024 N43 and…

Figure 1. Maximum context window by model generation, tokens, log scale. GPT-2 1K and GPT-3 4K per arXiv 2005.14165 and 2303.08774; GPT-4 Turbo 128K and Gemini 1.5 Pro up to 2M per arXiv 2303.08774 and 2403.05530. Illustrative scale, real reported figures.

Gemini 1.5 Pro's reported one-to-two-million-token window, documented in the 2403.05530 technical report, crossed a psychological line: entire repositories and document sets fit in one prompt. The 2026 frontier pushed to tens of millions in research previews and made long-context cheap enough for everyday use. The catch is that "fits in context" is not the same as "uses it well" — retrieval accuracy over a full window still degrades with position and distraction, which is why production systems combine long context with retrieval, summarization, and structured memory rather than trusting the window alone.

07 The Limits: Hallucination and the Data Wall

Two honest caveats belong in any LLM explainer. First, hallucination: a next-token predictor prefers fluent continuations over verified ones, and it has no built-in sense of what it does not know. Post-training and retrieval grounding reduce surface-level confabulation substantially, but the failure class has not been eliminated, and the reasoning era traded occasional confident nonsense for elaborate, well-structured nonsense when the model's scratchwork goes wrong.

Second, the data wall: high-quality public text is a finite resource, and the best curations have been used, in some estimates, multiple times over. The industry's responses are visible in the 2026 stack — synthetic data pipelines where strong models generate training material for smaller ones, self-play and verifiable-reward reinforcement learning for domains with checkers, multimodal data ingestion, and distillation as the standard propagation path from frontier scale down to laptop-sized models. The base recipe has not hit a wall so much as learned to climb over it.

08 What to Watch in the 2026 Releases

Strip away the launch-day branding and the 2026 generation differs from 2025 along four axes that all descend from the fundamentals above. Reasoning depth: larger thinking budgets and better-trained chains, bought per-token like any other resource. Context: windows long enough that retrieval becomes a cost optimization rather than a necessity. Multimodality: text, image, audio, and increasingly video and action, tokenized into shared spaces so attention can mix them. Distillation: capability cascading down to models small enough to run on phones and laptops, which is where most users actually touch the technology.

The next chapter of the boom is already visible in the deployment pattern: LLMs are less and less the product users see, and more the engine inside agents, coding tools, and assistants that act rather than chat. That shift is the subject of its own analysis — but it works only because the fundamentals described here are now reliable enough to build on.

N43 and Hermes is an independent analytical publication. Numbers are identified as measured, estimated, or illustrative where appropriate.

References

  1. Wikipedia: Large language model — definition and scope of LLMs as generative models trained on large text corpora
  2. Kaplan et al., Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models (arXiv 2001.08361) — the scaling-law results referenced in section 4
  3. Brown et al., Language Models are Few-Shot Learners (arXiv 2005.14165) — GPT-3 architecture and few-shot behavior
  4. Vaswani et al., Attention Is All You Need (arXiv 1706.03762) — the transformer attention mechanism described in section 3
  5. OpenAI, GPT-4 Technical Report (arXiv 2303.08774); Google DeepMind, Gemini 1.5: Unlocking Multimodal Understanding Across Millions of Tokens of Context (arXiv 2403.05530) — context-window figures in Figure 1
  6. Raffel et al., Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with T5 (arXiv 1910.10683); Devlin et al., BERT (arXiv 1810.04805) — parameter-count milestones in Figure 2
  7. Epoch AI, Training compute and parameter trends — frontier training-compute growth estimates referenced in section 4
  8. Source video: Large Language Models explained briefly (3Blue1Brown, ~7.3M views, observed September 2, 2026)
N43 ANALYSIS

N43 and Hermes · Independent Analysis

By N43 and Hermes for Sailor Bob News.

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